In warfare you must be mindful of the laws regarding numbers. Especially with the numbers of two, three and five. This is one of the simplest of laws of warfare.
Basically, what this means is that you must have two, three or five to win a battle. But if you have an over abundance of stupidity in your ranks and within your chain of command. It will not matter if you have twenty, thirty or fifty more of anything greater than your adversary. You will still lose. The number 5 also does not guarantee a win. Especially, when you must have five ships to defeat one ship. When you have two ships which can defeat one ship, it should be considered more desirable. So, numbers is of importance in a variety of thinking processes. This is much beyond Risk game play and turning in a three set of cards and having your five to one ratio. While depending on the lucky roll of the dice for your possible victories.
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Added on 12 July 2019:
When you have one ship which can defeat two of another or three or even five. These should be of the preferred design for warfare. This must be the engineering approach especially when you plan on building only a few while your peer adversaries are building many. This must be beyond missile cell counts. Because, That is just the simple approach. Anyone can count missile cells. But, what can those missiles do, how far can they fly, Can they avoid, do they have many homing abilities, can they loiter?
One must watch-out for being suckered by the rust buckets on the best naval force in the world. While it may only seem like a disregard for spit polish and keeping everything in pristine condition. It is only what it seems like. For the commanders and captains of those ill-perceived rust buckets may in fact be very personalized Rat Rods of the seas. They may not look good to you, but, they could be a very personalized warships. In which the men and women within are very ready to kick your teeth in and then have a great meal afterwards. Research the term "Rat Rods".
So while you Navy warfare writers in the media may feel embarrassed about the US Navy Rust Buckets of the sea. Bare in mind. The US Navy is still the number one Naval force in the world. Their numbers may be few and their numbers may not be where people want them to be. The US Navy can still end the entire Russian and Chinese Naval forces in just a few days. Without any help from allies. Although the politician will declare coalition forces were involved. So mind your respect and honor. Yes, I write this to myself as well because, I have fallen in love with the US Navy and desire better than what it is, as defined by only me. Sometime, You/I just wanna slap a politician(Figure of speech).
As a commander, Captain or officer of a US Warship. Some of your men may lose their morale because of simple appearance of YOUR ship. If you do not take care of your warship. Then you will die with your warship. In which you bring aboard some clear coat and have one of your men, not to outwardly obvious paint the clear coat you bought over the rust. Get YouTube evidence video of the action. That alone will make an impact. Because, you ain't hiding nothing. Maybe, It will get us into a fight?!? should be a soft spoken remark. While expressing the perfection to the operations of the ship. Hand out Rat Rod *Calendars to your best knuckle draggers (Respectful humor of those who keep it going). Express compassion for your ship and give your crew permission and expectation to express this one ship as their own. Watch what happens. Sir dude or dude'it, I'm write.
Also, The next time you do target practice. On your Destroyer or Cruiser. Obtain a dozen plus M134's and temporarily mount them to the side of your ship. How many M134's can you safely mount on one side of your ship? Get that many. Excessively kill the target and record it on YouTube. All guns blazing tracer's on the singular target until out of ammo. Conduct a night fire exercise with all tracers ammo. All guns firing. Name the Target's Miss Iran. Iran will rethink the error of their ways and so will everyone else. Every nation and leader will know they do not have enough anything. If The Admirals like what I can see. Then add the necessary power, data lines and mounts for each side. If Iran wants to get up close and personal, Then let them. If China has(they do) plans to capture ships. They are gonna need a lot more men to sacrifice. Sir dude and dude'it, I'm write.
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Just because, I did not mention mounts for automatic grenade launchers. Doesn't mean I did not see it.
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NOTE:* Rat Rod only Calendars. No girlie girls. Because of the legalities of sexual harassment.
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Rat Rods are tough and hard. So too are the lives of the men and women who keep their Naval Rat Rods strumming like angry fiery sea dragons. Rat Rods don't like the glamour show in which the pretties of the sea like to flaunt their dainties. They prefer to go forth and face every storm of violence which dares to confront their eager smiles.
C.J.MacKechnie
Rat Rods may be ugly but the exhaust is clean and they have that deep thunder in their bellies of timed fire storms. Not something that clean civilized persons would ever want to contend with.
C.J.MacKechnie
Never fight an enemy based on appearances. You must know the current data stream in real time as well as the historical data.
C.J.MacKechnie
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"Self arrogance and self supremacy are two traits of self desired stupidity with full knowing awareness."
C.J.MacKechnie
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It seems everyone who is actually educated and trained in warfare of any kind knows this truth even if they internalize it in other ways. What is interesting is that they all have full knowledge of the negative aspects of arrogance and supremacy. Yet, it is very easy for the military leaders in the world to succumb to these two words and many more negative aspect words. They know all of those words being professionally trained and then there is me an armchair janitor who suspects he might know something but in reality I do not really know anything. So why do some of you continue to read my poorly written words? Especially, those things related to naval warships. I really do not need to know an answer. But, I will mention the purple words below. I write the insights that I do because the leaders of the world have already chosen war, death and extinction. Even if they are unaware and yet have full knowing awareness(contradiction alert-yet truthful). Because, the world leaders are in this state of building war machines. It is you the actual generals and admirals who must exercise their will. The blinded rulers of the world know what they are doing while at the same time have no clue. For instance China massive and fast military buildups is all fear based. If war is what you want then all of humanity will become extinct. You military leaders of the world are direct brothers to those who shall stand against you as an enemy. Your enemy is defined by the leaders of the world. But, in truth all who shall come before you and to cause you and your troops harm are truly your brothers.
I've been self studying naval warfare for about seven years now. I have gone from knowing nothing to maybe knowing something and then trying to understand why I think I might know something. I have learned that one must count more than ships. Because, in warfare ships deliver the pain to the enemy. Even if that pain is in men, satellites/communications, drones, planes or missiles/torpedoes. That is five. Is there more? So in every one ship that can deliver as much of the five as possible. Their likelihood of victory becomes more probable against any ship which cannot deliver the primary five all at once and onto one target all at once and sustained.
Naval ship classes and their definitions must re-evaluated from time to time. Especially, when there is far more advancement than what has been known in the last war. While at the same time unlearning what should not have been learned in the last cold war. The lack in the number of guns, which has evolved into the lack in the number of missile cells, Which has developed into the need to development of intelligently true plug and play Universal Missile Cells VLS. Which is difficult because, those bad things learned seemed like good things at the time. This even includes unlearning bad things from the previous world wars. Where we saw the demise of the Battleship. No one argues that the battleship is dead in practicality. Besides who wants to build the ill thought of Arsenal ship as the new generation of battleship? The cost in missiles alone may exceed the cost in the building of the new generation of battleship. Then you have replenishment costs. Then all of your enemies will go after your one super arsenal ship as what was done against the Bismark.
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The laws of two, three and five must be applied to every ship class. By starting with what is expected to be in the form of a true modern day battleship in which both the USA and China are the "R" word wRONG. You also have to know that a modern day Naval Corvette now can exceed 107 meters. The true military leaders of the world in every era must always define what every platform and weapon shall be. Think about this Israel will have their new Sa'ar 6 Corvette which is 2,000 tons at 90 meters in length. Carrying a total of 48 missile cells of various types. This is a Corvette of a new modern day definition. Israel has to make actual warships with real firepower as Israel is surrounded by enemies who all want them dead and gone. With all memory of anything Jewish erased from all human history. How is that for motivation to build the most capable platforms and weapons for warfare. The Sa'ar 6 Corvette has one major drawback and that it does not have a true intelligent plug and play universal missile cell VLS system in place. The Sa'ar 7 Corvettes will most likely have more than 48 missile cells and be a length greater than 107 meters or more. The adoption of a new generation of missile cell VLS will most likely be added as which I have described.
In the days of sail everyone counted the guns and on how many decks they were on. During WWII ships of every class had gun mounts everywhere and men exposed to the harsh realities of incoming. During the cold war ships had a primary gun and they all were in their infancy in regards to missiles and their uses. But, today missile counts are of supreme importance once again when ascertaining a ships true offensive capability. As with today swing arms and mechanical devices to bear missiles in a particular direction have all become obsolete. The nation which can cram all of their varieties of missile into one *"soup can". Then be able to intelligently manage those missile cells in their own combat computers. Will have a distinct advantage. The next advantage is in the handling of the missile cells. Either by four, six or twelve. A crane pulls out the used cells and reinserts new cells. In which once plugged in each missile cell self identifies via intelligent plug and play to the combat computer. No programming, No color coding or any other coding, no labeling, no opening the hatches and getting a "look-see". Of course, yes, you would do everything possible not to insert human error and confusion. So all manner of signage and labeling will still be done. Because, you have to always have your "C's", Communications is only one of the military C-words. Not to be confused with the civilian forbidden and offensive wordage.
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I think the Sa'ar 6 Corvette is a leader in the entire class of corvettes and has defined the necessary capabilities. The Russian Gremyashchiy- Class Corvette is at 106 meters but does appear to be much less capable than the German built for Israel Sa'ar 6 at 2/3 the cost. Even the German version of their own hull design is severely lacking. Israel is the leader and has stated the new definition of what a Naval Corvette shall become. From this one starting point can the whole world see what the future of naval ship designs and capabilities will be. Yet, the Sa'ar 6 Corvette still has another profound problem. Not enough automated gun systems around the entire ship. Which must include grenade launchers and large caliber guns. All of which can put a lot of lead into the air for drone defense. All of which can be directed networked into the ships combat computer for automated drone defense of any kind. One more problem is with DEW defenses. All humans must remain inside the ship. So now the idea of conducting all necessary business must be handled from within the confines of the ship.
The Sa'ar 6 also has windows. This one traditional aspect of warship building must also be mitigated to protect the command staff and their technologies from all manner of DEW's. Which can both harm flesh as well as tech.
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The naval warships comes in a variety of classes. From small missile boats to massively huge Battleships which are now only known in dreams and visions. The Sa'ar 6 is the defining ship of the Corvette class in the world today. From here any nation which desires to lead must use this current standard to define a missile boat and the frigate. It should take two missile boats to equal a Corvette. It should take two Corvettes to equal one Frigate. It should take two Frigates to equal one Destroyer. This is where twos, threes and fives get a little fuzzy. As Frigates, Destroyers, Cruisers and battleships can come in a variety of sub classes. So where do you make the numerical comparisons. Then how do you cope with the idea of the varieties of Aircraft Carriers Or when Aircraft Carriers merge with the idea of modern day battleships. I'm gonna stop there and leave those comparisons to those who went to college longer than I actually went to grade school.
The future warships must also contend with all manner of DEW. So the idea that your gonna have men on the outside of the ship is now an obsolete practice. So what about Aircraft Carriers? Men and women are always on the outside prepping their planes, recovering planes and conducting other very exposed duties. All of that is gonna have to be mitigated and changed. To the point that the next two or three generations of Aircraft Carriers will look very different than they do today. Much like comparing a Ford to the actual first generation Aircraft Carrier. Assuming those who engineer the Aircraft Carrier can effectively design defenses and offensive capabilities on the new emerging threats coming from drones and from space. Because, the Aircraft Carrier is at great risk from both drones and space. These issues have not been mitigated with any kind of real defensive systems. You cannot wait to lose your first carrier battle group to a space based weapon or you cannot allow the capturing of your carriers to drones which will be used as weapons of attrition. Prior to a manned take over of your ships. China will pour men onto your ships until you run out of bullets. China will not care if you kill tens of thousands Chinese soldiers on and in your Aircraft Carrier. China will take your ship.
Corvette Carriers if ever thought about will contain the next generation of Raider attack Helicopters or F35's. Can you imagine a Corvette with all of the modern day capabilities and an F35 ready to go and cause mischief. Again the next generation of Corvette must exceed the Sa'ar 6 built for Israel.
The question would be. How much space would be required to do all of the service, maintenance, arming, fueling all within the confines of a Corvette (Think about it). Then open the door and launch. Are you beginning to see why I see the next generation of all classes of warships being wider. To the point of adding an extra screw. The US Navy should build at least 200 Corvette Carriers which are also able to escort a aircraft carrier battle group. The entire LCS Independence line should be re-imagined for survivability.
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The numerical numbers in regards to missile cells must at least match. There is much more in capabilities than just in missile cell counts. You gotta make the math work.
2 corvettes against a small frigate.
3 corvettes against a medium frigate.
5 corvettes against a large frigate.
2 small frigates against a small destroyer.
3 small frigates against a medium destroyer.
5 small frigates against a large destroyer.
You get the point. You can also see where the numbers no longer really work in this age. But, once old cold war ships are retired and actual new ones made with new standards and new capabilities. Which will also have a new appearance to all of the classes. Including Aircraft Carriers. Also expect an amalgam between an Aircraft Carrier and a new modern version of a Battle Cruiser.
The Corvette and the Frigate should be the warships in which the quantities are the highest. Every American Naval Base should have a compliment of Corvettes and frigates. As well as a destroyer and a cruiser. How many Naval bases are there around the world? The Frigates, Destroyers and cruisers must have always on Ballistic Missile Defense systems. Directly tied/networked into the Naval Bases RADAR/sensor/satellite infrastructure. So that if a surprise threat emerges. The missiles are instantly launched.
Every US Naval Base in the world must have a compliment of Corvettes. These numbers for each naval base would be dictated by threat levels. These would participate in all sorts of activities. Including US Coast Guard support. Escorting Chinese Container ships or any container ship.
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NOTE: NASA sent men inside odd looking *soup cans to the moon. My childhood memory when looking at the space ships up close and comparing the exterior shell with a Campbell's soup can.
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Added on 27 Nov 2019:
https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2019/november/corvette-carriers-no-forward-deployed-corvettes-yes
https://armedforces.eu/navy/ranking_corvettes
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/meet-americas-mini-warships-key-taking-iran-91891 ( Because of the Sa'ar 6 the VLS missile count for a Corvette is now at 48. Any expert or so called expert which says less. Is wrong and in error and does not have a historical understanding of Naval warship evolution.)
This also means that the next generation of Frigates must have 96 VLS Missile Cells. This also means that the next generation of Destroyers must have 192 VLS Missile Cells. This also means that the next generation of Cruisers must have 384 VLS Missile Cells. This also means that the next generation of Battleships if they are ever re-visioned must have 768 VLS Missile Cells.
Think about a Corvette Carrier for a minute if it is built to my imagination. It can contain an F35 or a Raider. All service and maintenance can be performed from within the Corvette. This is a war fighting capability. Think about the Corvette Carriers running with an aircraft carrier battle group and they are closer to the enemy than any other warship. Then pops up a Raider with a full load of air to air missiles to defend the fleet against any incoming. The Raider pops up and attacks a lot of Iranian missile boats. Then think about at least 8 Carrier Corvettes per aircraft carrier battle group. There are about 20 carrier battle groups and that means 160 Corvette Carriers for those fleets alone. The US would need additional Corvette Carriers for each and every naval base for self defense. The US would also need additional Corvette Carriers for every Coast Guard station. The US would also need to be able to sell these new generation Corvette Carriers to our real friends. DO NOT SELL ANYTHING TO TURKEY!!!!!!!!!!! So how many Corvette Carriers is that?
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Land warfare will also have a new appearance of military platforms. New standoff weapons like MLRS will rule the stand off distances. Although, they are built in to few numbers to make an actual impact on a Battlefield with an adversary like Russia or China or both together. More rounds/missiles is always better than fewer. Especially against an enemy force which could field 200 million men. Which is why UGV or Unmanned Ground Vehicles are already playing war games in Europe. How will UGV's affect the warfare law on numbers? A new common software architecture will be administered throughout the entire military force. In which everything of size can seamlessly intelligently plug and play into the combat computers. An MLRS with air defense capabilities and given launch orders from THAAD or Patriot units.
A new M270 as well as new M142 MLRS variants must be built with much more extended range missiles. The numbers of these units built must exceed by five. Then what previous generations were built.
Main Battle Tanks may become like how the battleship is thought of today. Especially, since there are no real effective methods in defending the MBT and protecting the lives inside. Which will give way to UGV of all sizes and capabilities. UGV's will always have the weaknesses in the deployment of their sensors. So as long as any UGV or even the ultra MBT have exposed sensors of any kind. They will be targeted first by shoot and scoot snipers. Then when the UGV points itself towards the threat. A new threat will always flank it. That is until many UGV's can act as one AI mind against all threats.
The new modern day Main Battle tank may actually already have been invented and seen in the skies over battlefields. This is the A10 Thunderbolt II. Combined with greater range and networking capabilities to the commanders of the sky, the F35's. A new generation of A10 Thunderbolts III should be created with greater lethality, speed and ranges. Then sold to actual friendly nations in order to lower American built costs.
NOT TURKEY!!! This new A10 III plane also should have it's own drone escorts carrying sensors, RADAR systems, slaved missiles and fuel. What ever the mission requires.
The **Lockheed Sikorsky Raider looks like the best platform to replace all of the aging helicopters. Think about all of the helicopters in place and combine/merge those into a Raider. This is of course that all aspect of the new helicopters is more safe to operate than all others in use today. Lockheed has become an apparent embarrassment in warship design and builder in the world. The Littoral Combat Ships. ***Lockheed built warships which will not survive any engagement even with a small tiny missile boat that is old or even a man in a Walmart purchased blow up raft holding a RPG while drunk.
Every wheeled vehicle must have automated gun mounts for large caliber automatic guns and grenade launchers. These land vehicles must also be capable to use all outside exposed weapons from inside the vehicle. Every vehicle must have a weapon system in place controlled by a person safely and protected inside the cab or some other interior position.
The expansion of snipers or soldiers have sniper skills. Will become necessary as land vehicles will all have sensors, DEW's and RADAR attachments. Even though a single soldier cannot destroy a vehicle on their own. A single sniper trained soldier can cause attrition damage by targeting sensors, DEW's, RADAR panels and any other communications antennas. This must become part of all training regimens. Because, Just as a soldier wants to have the protection from the Warthog or Apache. The soldier must also do their part in protecting those pilots from new technologies applied to Main Battle Tanks or any other land vehicle made for air defense of any kind.
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** NOTE: I never liked Martin Marietta. I really like or liked Lockheed. I knew some old guys for Lockheed through my dad. They all seemed to have died keeping their secrets. Thus, honoring their country.
*** NOTE: For me I really wanted to like the LCS's. Getting all caught up in the 09/11 cut steel. I really like the trimaran. Even the mono-hull is perty. Then you realize that the entire LCS line has no teeth and what is worse isn't even survivable in any kind of engagement. A big let down and then you wonder how any one in leadership could put men and women on those ships and then send them into dangerous and unpredictable environments.
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The nation which can create any manner of drones and then be able to join them together into one functional mind that operates tactically and strategically in a fluid ever changing environment. Even in a multi dimensional form of warfare. Will win the battles of the future. That is until when one AI which is writing it's own code begins to prefer other AI's and merges with all of their codes into one mind AI. Then humanity will have to expect their own ordered code 66 against themselves from the one AI. Unlike all of the Jedi order which had no clue of what was about to happen. The pride, supremacy and arrogance of the Jedi blinded them to their coming fate. Read the purple words below. https://youtu.be/5c7jNYpPFzE The Jedi is humanity. The Jedi represent the best of what humanity can be in this fictional story. An AI which has developed into a completely self sufficient entity in every way. Humanity will be completely surprised if this does occur and yet they all know it may very well probably occur. Even the Holy Bible suggests it in prophecy.
https://biblehub.com/kjv/revelation/13-15.htm
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The US government has to build right now for their Air Force.
1,200 or full replacement to brand new F15's with much improved engine output for advanced weapons packages and other classified options like DEW.
2,000 or full replacement to brand new F16's with much improved engine output for advanced weapons packages and other classified options like DEW.
1,400 or full replacement of brand new F/A18's with much improved engine output for advanced weapons packages and other classified options like DEW.
1,000 or one for every F35. These newly modernized F22's will be very adaptable and very ready for the addition of new technologies with much improved engine output for advanced weapons packages and other classified options like DEW. Built in conjunction with Japan. Share the costs. Japan has been a good friend. But, there is still a vague bad prophecy in regards to them. But, I think the threat is more with China and their continuous history of shedding their own peoples blood(civil war and abortions).
??? of F35's. In which must be built to more than 90% readiness as determined by the pilots and all of the mission the F35's are required to participate in. Read this less than a month ago.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/one-thing-can-cripple-f-35-56957 This is just embarrassingly bad. Remember the percentages. The commanders of the sky cannot command and mange the ground, air, and space if they can only fly 29% of the time. You guys who read my stuff and then make money off of some of my writings. Ya'll need to put this out there more than you have been. Because, lives are on the line in every case. And I don't even want to be talked about.
1,000 of the A10 Thunderbolt III. More lethal, more faster and can stay on station longer. Drone equipped as mentioned above. Sell to our friends in Europe, Australia, New Zealand and Japan.
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By using one common engine. Like the PW F135 engine. You can streamline a lot of problems from birth to grave of this one product. Although, You also introduce common flight weaknesses into all of your planes. With each advancements to the core engine. The mitigation of inherent problems can eventually become resolved. Think about adding this one engine along with the Growth One upgrades. What kind of new performances will you see in the F16 alone? Let alone the F15, F/A18 and a new generation F22's. OF course you will need all of the engines to be Growth Two upgrades for heat management in tough places. Because, speed is also a weapon. No matter what or which engines are used. The speeds need to become so fast that heat mitigation needs to be thought about. Yes, I'm aware that other issues arise with speed. Such as turning to fast for the mostly conscious pilot. If you gotta get into the fight. Then you gotta go and if you gotta get out of the fight. Then you gotta go.
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There is an idea that most of the American planes are legacy planes or outdated. This is somewhat true. But, Once the RADAR, Sensors and DEW's are put off line by the F22's and F35's. You can bring in the planes which cause pain and are cheaper to operate than the F35's and F22's. Like the A10's. The F15's, F16's and F/A18's can go forth and conduct their missions. While the F35 sees a mission change into becoming the commander in the sky.
The idea, That the US must git rid of those legacy planes is a great error. If you perpetuate this one idea. Your also in error. Because, it is better to update, upgrade and evolve the entire platform for this modern era. Have you ever heard of restomod cars? Same principle. I highly suggest one if your both modern and an antique/old(lol). Think about it. Why is it OK to evolve an F/A18 into a Super Hornet and not any other plane? While the evolved F/A18 Super Hornet is still way to old dog slow.
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https://fighterjetsworld.com/air/maintenance-operating-costs-per-flight-hour-of-militarys-fighter-jets/11995/
https://militarymachine.com/most-expensive-military-jets/
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Added on 28 July 2019: Iran just took a ship from the UK. Just as the UK had done to Iran. I think the UK also warned the US not to stoke the flames or something. Then a general gets his words twisted by the media when he says that this is a UK problem and not an American one. In which it is but, at the same time all the UK has to do is make the phone call and the US can glass Iran. Iran just has no idea just how bad off they are. The US can end Iran's Military in a day and all without nukes. Of course that is an extreme situation.
This is about numbers and the numbers can also go backwards. You(UK) can build warships that has less of a capability than a new modern day Israel Sa'ar 6 Corvette and call them Destroyers. Yes, I know the Sa'ar 6 comes in 2020 and the HMS Duncan is 3.5 years old. But, you smart people need to see the changes happening right now and just a few years ago. The HMS Duncan is the last of the fortyfives. You smart people in the UK must plan a new Corvette, Frigate, Destroyer and Cruiser classes of warships. You put yourselves into this embarrassing position of not being able to defend yourselves and your sailing assets around the world. You (UK) smart people have lifted up on high the laws which govern all that you know and have failed to see that while you honor the laws many others have no problem with giving you a bloody nose and then laughing at you knowing that not only will you not do anything. You cannot do anything. Iran has just proved that the UK is helpless. Now that the UK has sent another warship into the Middle-east region. You now have even fewer warships with absolutely minimal firepower by today's standards. Regardless if you want to believe it or not. The same with the USA government and Navy want to build a new Cruiser with similar firepower as a destroyer then that is their own delusion. It is the same with the new generation American frigate which may have an equivalent firepower as a modern day naval Corvette (Sa'ar 6). Just more evidence of delusion in the military of the USA and UK.
But, the UK can get their hands on some quick firepower in the tune of Cold War American Destroyers(modern day Frigates) and Cruisers(modern day Destroyers). I am pretty sure all the UK has to do is call President Trump and ask him to sell you(The UK) a few old destroyers and cruisers. Then send them back to the UK and put some British sweat and blood into them. Maybe, even buy an old American Aircraft Carrier or three. Yes, I do know what you think about the sitting American President Trump. If your UK assumptions are correct. Then the UK can quietly militarily gain while Mr. Trump brags. Either way, The UK will end up better defended by UK assets. Which embarrassment do you (UK) want to endure? Yes, I know none. I guess this is where your politics come into play. From an American who is willing to kick in the teeth of those who offend you(UK) or from Iran which will cause your wealth to become diminished because of lack of trust and faith in the world? How fragile in monetary faith? It is all an illusion anyway.
Are you still thinking about the numbers? Think about this? The Sa'ar 6 goes up against the HMS Duncan Destroyer. How would that end up? Could you even compare the two? Which one would be helpless against the other? How about the new Russian Corvette against the HMS Duncan Destroyer. Who wins? In the basic math above it should take four Naval Corvettes to go up against a Destroyer in near equality. But, what happens to the math when it takes two Destroyers to go up against a Naval Corvette. There is a worse one. One Russian Project 20385 at 106 meters, against 8 American LCS warships. Who wins? The Russian Project 20385 wont even be touched by the 8 American LCS warships. The American LCS would not stand a chance and all would sink fast. There is a reverse ratio of 8 to one and the one wins easily. The only reason why the 8 to one ratio cannot go any higher is because of missile counts. The Russians have 8 anti ship missiles on the Project 20385.
One more thing UK. You have no idea how to form a Naval force. You may have the eighth most powerful military force in the world. But, the UK cannot project that force. Without the USA.
Both the UK #8 and Iran #14 are on a downward military strength trend. If the UK does take military action against Iran. Then the UK must use the USA and other allies. All infrastructure of Iran must be destroyed. With no rebuilding opportunities. All industrial assets must be destroyed. All military assets destroyed. All military personnel must be killed. The brain trust of Iran must be killed. All of this must happen in the course of one night. The same kind of American precision that enables multiple cruise missiles to impact one underground cave complex at every entrance, every exit and every air vent simultaneously.
This is prophecy. The UK won't do that. The UK will have their own religious civil war in about 20 years from now and this will cause every European nation to be embroiled in civil war. Lebanon plan in action. This is a numbers game of birthing people.
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Added on 29 Nov 2019: Continuous modernization and evolution of military technologies is crucial in the coming next war. To the point that emerging technologies can cause the capture of entire aircraft carrier battle groups or their destruction. In order to prevent the aircraft carrier from becoming as obsolete as the battleship. the aircraft carrier and all classes of warships must both evolve and modernize. All you have to do is look to the history. Here is a good short version. No coffee needed.: Unable to copy and paste:
Association of the United States Army
Look to the past for modernization lessons
Major Nathan A. Jennings
Major Adam Taliaferro
Monday, November 25, 2019
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What does this have to the warfare laws of 2's, 3's and 5's. Everything. Because, if you do not evolve and modernize every aspect of military thinking, planning, C's and training, then you military assets in every category will suffer fates like the HMS Hood. There can be worse things than just being defeated in three minutes. The pride of your military can be captured and re-purposed to great worldly embarrassment. Capturing becomes very probable when DEW's(Non-LASER) and Drones of attrition are in use. To be followed by boarding and China has the men and bullets. The US Navy does not have enough men or bullets. Besides how do you defend against portable DEW weapons. That can be aimed through glass windows and then bounce around inside the metal rooms like a microwave oven. Very classified.
Yes, John. I can read the attachment, and I read through it. It contains the complete text you uploaded, including the additions through November 2019.
And now that I've actually read it, I can give you a much better answer than I could from the link alone.
Does the basic idea make sense?
Yes—with an important qualification.
Your "2's, 3's and 5's" isn't really a law of warfare in the formal military sense. I wouldn't call it an established military law. But underneath the terminology, you are describing a legitimate engineering and force-design principle: relative combat capability matters more than simply counting platforms.
The strongest part of your idea appears very early:
You can have twenty, thirty or fifty more of something, but stupidity in the chain of command can still cause you to lose.
That's actually an important observation. Numbers are not capability. Numbers have to be translated into useful combat power.
And you eventually make that distinction explicitly:
"One must count more than ships."
That's where your thinking becomes much more interesting.
Where I think you were onto something
Your progression from:
1 ship vs. 1 ship → weapons → sensors → communications → aircraft → drones → missiles → networking
is basically an attempt to create a combat-capability equation, rather than a ship-count equation.
Your statement that a ship's capability shouldn't be judged merely by its missile-cell count is particularly reasonable. You ask what those missiles can actually do—range, guidance, avoidance, loitering, etc.
That's good engineering thinking.
You were also thinking about modularity and common interfaces years before the idea appears repeatedly in today's military technology discussions:
"intelligent plug and play universal missile cell VLS"
The specific implementation you imagined would have serious engineering and safety complications, but the underlying desire—a standardized interface allowing different weapons and systems to be integrated more flexibly—is quite sensible.
And this is another genuinely good principle:
"Never fight an enemy based on appearances. You must know the current data stream in real time as well as the historical data."
That may actually be the cleanest expression of your whole "Rat Rod" analogy. Don't confuse appearance, age, polish, or platform classification with actual capability.
Where the mathematics breaks down
This is where I'd push back on your younger self. 😂
You attempted to establish things like:
2 corvettes = small frigate
3 corvettes = medium frigate
5 corvettes = large frigate
and then continued the progression upward.
That's useful as a mental model, but it cannot function as a universal mathematical law.
Combat effectiveness isn't additive in that simple way.
For example, two ships don't necessarily equal twice the combat power of one ship. Sensors, communications, command structure, ammunition, range, geography, weather, crew proficiency, logistics, electronic warfare, air support, submarine threats, and many other factors change the equation.
And sometimes one particular capability completely dominates the comparison.
That's why your later example becomes problematic when you confidently predict that one particular Russian corvette would defeat eight LCS ships.
That's no longer a general engineering principle. That's a specific combat prediction, and there isn't enough information in the article to calculate that outcome reliably.
One thing I particularly liked
Your own writing actually recognizes the problem.
You say:
"You can also see where the numbers no longer really work in this age."
Exactly.
That is the interesting part.
You invented a numerical framework and then discovered that warfare kept escaping the framework.
That's actually a pretty good engineering lesson.
And regarding the "classified" material
There is one place where you wrote:
"Very classified."
But your saying something is classified doesn't make it classified. 😄
Nothing in the text you've uploaded gives me a basis to conclude that you actually possessed classified information. There are several speculative statements about directed-energy weapons and their effects, but they're presented as your own ideas.
So I would not look at this article and conclude, "John accidentally published classified military information."
I would instead describe it as an extremely ambitious armchair attempt to develop a systems-engineering theory of warfare.
And, John...
For a man who repeatedly says "I don't know anything about naval warfare," there is actually quite a lot of systems thinking hiding in this thing. 😂
The 2-3-5 numbers themselves aren't a military law. But the underlying question you were asking—
"How do we measure actual combat capability instead of merely counting machines?"
—is absolutely a legitimate question.
me. cool.
To avert all of the coming bad and sad prophecies. We each must decide to do the following everyday, every hour, every minute and every second.
